xdecon
0xd7213d90596b871d97f9886325d2d0d0659057a7
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $305.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,327
- Open portfolio
- $24.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,327
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.010Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
- +$450.60at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?
- +$395.40at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?
- +$269.26at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
- +$255.84at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:55 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 08-30 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.0045218243 | $2.05 |
| 08-30 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.28 |
| 08-30 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.06 |
| 08-30 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30? | BUY | 0.04396 | $1.37 |
| 07-29 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.93 |
| 07-28 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.08 | $5.52 |
| 07-28 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 07-14 05:38 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4075 | $4.07 |
| 06-21 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 06-21 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 21? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 06-19 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.76 |
| 06-18 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.19 |
| 06-18 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.59 |