OffShoreG
0xd70ed453e202cc080170c53584c7da7a558e6f8a
- Realised P&L
- $-190.44
- Volume
- $80.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $133.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.754 | 0.665 | $88.22 | −$11.78 |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.729 | 0.645 | $43.70 | −$5.70 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.969 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.072 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No | 0.100 | 0.028 | $0.03 | −$0.07 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$581.35at 0.512Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?
- +$322.45at 0.539Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September?
- +$157.09at 0.521Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?
- +$11.95at 0.870Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?
- +$6.17at 0.980Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 08:03 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4079196177 | $47.80 |
| 10-13 08:02 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $76.15 |
| 10-13 08:02 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4580163092 | $25.84 |
| 10-13 07:53 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-13 07:51 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $22.98 |
| 10-12 22:25 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.89 |
| 10-12 22:24 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.49 |
| 10-12 22:24 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.6224588622 | $26.48 |
| 10-12 22:04 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7538354545 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 22:04 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6730728439 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 22:01 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7291286912 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 21:59 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5647545578 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 21:56 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5875768313 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 19:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:07 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $16.44 |