PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OffShoreG

0xd70ed453e202cc080170c53584c7da7a558e6f8a

Realised P&L
$-190.44
Volume
$80.3k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$133.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7540.665$88.22−$11.78
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7290.645$43.70−$5.70
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9900.969$0.98−$0.02
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes0.0980.072$0.73−$0.27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No0.1000.028$0.03−$0.07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No0.0490.000$0.00−$0.08
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$10.00
LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$5.00
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 08:03Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?SELL0.4079196177$47.80
10-13 08:02Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?SELL0.45$76.15
10-13 08:02Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?SELL0.4580163092$25.84
10-13 07:53Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?SELL0.49$49.00
10-13 07:51Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?SELL0.07$22.98
10-12 22:25Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?SELL0.61$0.89
10-12 22:24Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?SELL0.61$5.49
10-12 22:24Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?SELL0.6224588622$26.48
10-12 22:04Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7538354545$100.00
10-12 22:04Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6730728439$100.00
10-12 22:01Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7291286912$50.00
10-12 21:59Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5647545578$100.00
10-12 21:56Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5875768313$100.00
10-12 19:18Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$1.00
10-12 15:07Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?SELL0.06$16.44