anarhislav
0xd70c30d14f80ee96be288e250bc48d2b4b6fb80d
- Realised P&L
- $42.02
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $424.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.405 | $247.98 | −$16.02 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No | 0.439 | 0.400 | $96.00 | −$9.40 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.275 | $80.88 | −$19.12 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · No | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.45 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.76 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.88at 0.570Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
- +$32.35at 0.439Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$12.20at 0.438Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$1.94at 0.733Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$-4.35at 0.223Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:43 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 17:42 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4710186155 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 17:41 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4391666667 | $105.40 |
| 09-20 11:24 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3640320955 | $90.28 |
| 09-20 11:24 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3596403591 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 11:08 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.5374982963 | $260.27 |
| 09-20 07:11 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4169583029 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 07:09 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4091572335 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 14:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 10:29 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.45 | $14.25 |
| 07-14 20:57 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.35 | $25.76 |
| 07-14 13:30 | Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $204.24 |
| 07-14 13:01 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.30 |
| 07-14 13:01 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.46 |