0xd6fdc65d6f2e3eef6bb40c57dc88bb64ca9ea8c1
0xd6fdc65d6f2e3eef6bb40c57dc88bb64ca9ea8c1
- Realised P&L
- $31.71
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.24at 0.408Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25?
- +$8.79at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$7.14at 0.593Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?
- +$6.29at 0.623Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$5.76at 0.643Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:59 | US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 14:28 | Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 12:58 | Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 10:51 | Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 01:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 00:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 31? | BUY | 0.9939999183 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 17:03 | Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 17:03 | Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 15:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 12:01 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 12:01 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 23:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 23:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 16:58 | FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |