sxb
0xd6fc54d03750495dd26feb3393e0f299b8023e7f
- Realised P&L
- $-15.4k
- Volume
- $861.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,166
- Open portfolio
- $180.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,166
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16? · No | 0.921 | 0.993 | $26.94 | +$1.94 |
| Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 2 - 1 US Sassuolo Calcio? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $24.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club end in a draw? · No | 0.910 | 0.994 | $24.02 | +$2.02 |
| Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 1 Levante UD? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $21.88 | −$0.12 |
| Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5) · Holstein Kiel | 0.910 | 0.895 | $21.64 | −$0.36 |
| Exact Score: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 1 FH Hafnarfjordur? · No | 0.910 | 0.895 | $21.64 | −$0.36 |
| Spread: Djurgardens IF (-3.5) · IF Brommapojkarna | 0.910 | 0.895 | $21.64 | −$0.36 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club? · No | 0.930 | 0.740 | $17.51 | −$4.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.540Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.475Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.488Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:31 | Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 10:30 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-3.5) | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 10:30 | Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 1 Levante UD? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 09:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5335920223 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 09:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 09:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.9209999746 | $25.00 |
| 10-16 08:24 | Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 2 - 1 US Sassuolo Calcio? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 10-16 08:23 | Exact Score: Sydney FC 2 - 1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC? | BUY | 0.909999969 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 05:19 | Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 05:18 | Exact Score: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 1 FH Hafnarfjordur? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |
| 10-15 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.950495042 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.00 |