0xd6f6e9d770056a9c2cd4cda11e7785365e39dadf
0xd6f6e9d770056a9c2cd4cda11e7785365e39dadf
- Realised P&L
- $41.35
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $560.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.936Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?
- +$-0.19at 0.971Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?
- +$-0.28at 0.969Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 22:21 | Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $57.96 |
| 10-18 22:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat? | SELL | 0.953 | $9.53 |
| 10-18 22:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.943 | $9.43 |
| 10-18 22:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.06815625 | $43.62 |
| 10-18 10:10 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.0037900488 | $2.45 |
| 10-18 10:10 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.0079510732 | $1.54 |
| 10-18 10:09 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.0133789282 | $2.05 |
| 10-18 10:09 | Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.0133012259 | $1.29 |
| 10-18 10:09 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.0113244692 | $1.61 |
| 10-18 10:09 | Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $6.46 |
| 10-18 10:09 | Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3699999989 | $38.00 |
| 10-18 10:07 | Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7869999978 | $39.40 |
| 10-18 10:07 | Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-18 10:07 | Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1383211983 | $6.65 |
| 10-18 10:07 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.978 | $9.78 |