PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

injailjustvisiting

0xd6f528abe446337922ef997233211d7a0d13d7aa

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$378.0k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4511.000$712.00+$390.89
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw? · Yes0.2811.000$553.00+$397.61
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? · OpenAI0.2720.446$309.52+$120.76
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2000.052$36.07$101.33
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.920$11.96+$2.47
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? · No0.8801.000$4.00+$0.48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.6200.465$0.47$0.15
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.6400.155$0.31$0.97
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.065$0.20$0.61
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.1300.021$0.02$0.11
Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · No0.1950.000$0.00$39.59
Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video? · No0.7400.000$0.00$25.57
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.01
GPT ads by December 31? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$0.07
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3200.000$0.00$302.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 08:04Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?BUY0.58$49.88
04-21 08:13Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.78$638.82
04-13 16:41Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?SELL0.89$73.87
04-13 16:33Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?SELL0.46$189.52
04-13 16:30Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?SELL0.32$170.24
04-13 16:25Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.59$503.86
04-13 16:24Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.59$28.32
04-13 15:58Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.91$636.09
04-13 15:57T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan WinnerSELL0.018$14.98
04-13 11:26Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.45$185.40
04-13 11:22Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.52$276.64
04-13 11:02Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.87$608.13
04-13 10:50T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan WinnerBUY0.899$747.97
04-13 10:40Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.59$532.18
04-13 09:57Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?SELL0.85$136.00