0xd6f3afd3bb335921eb299b9b630a4f52c4dd9418
- Realised P&L
- $-350.70
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $926.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.08at 0.660Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$0.80at 0.230US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.337Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercog
- +$-0.01at 0.910San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$-0.02at 0.800Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 16:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.41 |
| 05-06 10:32 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.69 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.25 |
| 05-06 09:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999912 | $15.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.25 |
| 05-06 09:56 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 05-06 09:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.62 |
| 05-05 23:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0299999801 | $1.45 |