PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd6f3afd3bb335921eb299b9b630a4f52c4dd9418

Realised P&L
$-350.70
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$926.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0841.000$233.93+$214.28
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6831.000$150.00+$47.50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4161.000$100.00+$58.35
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · No0.9331.000$99.07+$6.64
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · No0.5771.000$79.83+$33.78
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3040.936$75.42+$50.93
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8550.935$74.15+$6.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · No0.4001.000$25.00+$15.00
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7450.064$21.36$229.23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.5901.000$16.95+$6.95
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneau · Adam Walton0.5601.000$10.52+$4.63
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers · Texas Rangers0.4511.000$9.77+$5.36
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $80k0.8301.000$5.00+$0.85
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmoh · Michael Mmoh0.6801.000$5.00+$1.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · No0.2701.000$4.11+$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 16:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?SELL0.3$3.41
05-06 10:32Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?SELL0.3$4.69
05-06 09:56Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.06$3.00
05-06 09:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.025$1.25
05-06 09:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
05-06 09:56MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
05-06 09:56Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999912$15.00
05-06 09:56Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
05-06 09:56Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
05-06 09:56Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.06$3.00
05-06 09:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.025$1.25
05-06 09:56MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
05-06 09:56Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.649999987$15.00
05-06 09:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.23$2.62
05-05 23:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.0299999801$1.45