PolyBot

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Traders

Ofers69

0xd6eaafe43d7ed9ce1ff9ce77ddf5e7d753f3aef5

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$150.7k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$108.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.345$93.24−$6.76
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? · Yes0.1900.170$15.15−$1.78
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$6.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$810.61
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$4.32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$20.40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$16.40
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$420.38
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.1960.000$0.00−$74.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 06:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.369999999$100.00
08-04 18:57Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.0178159807$267.46
07-29 12:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0589999971$18.00
07-29 12:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.058$215.35
07-26 20:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.06$39.00
07-26 20:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.059$118.00
07-26 20:24Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.058$90.90
07-25 19:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.078$10.92
07-25 19:39Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.078$46.80
07-25 19:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.074$14.18
07-25 19:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.0167050099$71.98
07-23 17:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0229748259$99.00
07-23 17:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0855324276$500.00
06-13 20:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0200258875$15.00
06-13 20:40Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.006$15.66