PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1df56ghb1fd

0xd6e196429e4f34c808a9936aa5c369223d8b03a7

Realised P&L
$411.64
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$476.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 01:14Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?BUY0.96$116.77
06-03 14:14Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY0.976$330.86
06-03 14:13Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?SELL0.04$0.80
06-03 14:11Will Ciena Q2 Networking Platforms revenue be above $1.25B?SELL0.13$2.60
06-03 14:10Will Mauro Gattinoni win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election?SELL0.16$3.20
06-03 14:09Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?SELL0.2$4.00
06-03 14:09Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?SELL0.09$1.62
06-03 14:09Will Anna De Gaio win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?SELL0.2$4.00
06-03 14:08Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?SELL0.27$5.40
06-03 14:00Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?SELL0.14$2.80
06-03 14:00Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?SELL0.29$5.80
06-03 13:58Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.468376$9.37
06-03 13:58Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchSELL0.64$12.79
06-03 13:58Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchSELL0.35$7.00
06-03 10:16Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?SELL0.883135$17.66