weatherboy2000
0xd6de427cb7d43f4faa015dfa171701d13bde4942
- Realised P&L
- $26.82
- Volume
- $939.77
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $23.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.08at 0.052Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?
- +$10.53at 0.224Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13?
- +$8.34at 0.249Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?
- +$7.28at 0.432Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?
- +$6.27at 0.341Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.97 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4247478992 | $4.04 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.18 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.51 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.86 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1444994499 | $2.63 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.73 |
| 09-27 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.0917436744 | $1.67 |
| 09-27 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.2133333333 | $3.20 |
| 09-26 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0744994499 | $1.35 |
| 09-26 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.66 | $4.45 |
| 09-25 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.87 |
| 09-21 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.08 |
| 09-21 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.69 |