12398fg
0xd6dbe6bc90415530f90f36d73d00ba6a687c2f0d
- Realised P&L
- $-34.8k
- Volume
- $997.0k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.239Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.3kat 0.940Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?
- +$534.73at 0.772Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
- +$252.81at 0.470Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winner
- +$160.00at 0.680Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 07:18 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 11? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.70 |
| 10-08 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-08 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 10-08 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 10-07 12:06 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.50 |
| 10-07 11:34 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 10-07 11:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.52 |
| 10-07 11:27 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 10-07 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.035 | $10.46 |
| 10-07 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.0326360109 | $5.13 |
| 10-07 08:37 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $27.60 |
| 10-07 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 10-07 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 08:30 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |