PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

12398fg

0xd6dbe6bc90415530f90f36d73d00ba6a687c2f0d

Realised P&L
$-34.8k
Volume
$997.0k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$6.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9500.950$2.0k−$1.05
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8100.765$1.8k−$107.55
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? · Up0.5470.775$814.74+$239.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.4600.315$585.90−$269.70
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.415$492.78+$17.81
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.1400.145$374.39+$12.91
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0660.065$106.07−$1.84
Ethereum Up or Down on October 11? · Up0.3500.245$98.00−$42.00
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 AFC Bournemouth? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$37.19
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.6k
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$4.1k
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$39.93
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.9k
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$199.98
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Up0.0420.000$0.00−$172.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 07:18Ethereum Up or Down on October 11?BUY0.35$70.70
10-08 10:32Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.23$4.60
10-08 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.26$52.00
10-08 03:43Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.3$60.00
10-08 03:42Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.31$62.00
10-07 12:06Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.011$5.50
10-07 11:34Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.011$2.20
10-07 11:29Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.011$3.52
10-07 11:27Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.011$1.10
10-07 10:51Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.035$10.46
10-07 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.0326360109$5.13
10-07 08:37Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.06$27.60
10-07 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.07$1.47
10-07 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.06$3.00
10-07 08:30Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.05$50.00