454658
0xd6da80a7dc71d6fac524ac3a35d306d97777a639
- Realised P&L
- $86.44
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $7.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.08at 0.680Sabres vs. Canadiens
- +$8.66at 0.690Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
- +$6.19at 0.610Predators vs. Avalanche
- +$5.69at 0.770Panthers vs. Jets
- +$5.21at 0.650Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 02:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8599999902 | $7.00 |
| 08-06 02:28 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 08-06 02:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $9.51 |
| 07-04 02:52 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 05-08 05:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.759999924 | $6.00 |
| 05-08 05:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.7979999882 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 05:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.9679998503 | $6.00 |
| 03-13 21:53 | Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.96 |
| 03-13 21:35 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.96 |
| 03-13 21:33 | Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.96 |
| 03-13 20:54 | Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.99 |
| 03-13 20:54 | Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.97 |
| 03-13 20:53 | Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13? | BUY | 0.957 | $3.86 |
| 03-13 19:22 | Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.96 |
| 03-13 18:46 | Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.96 |