PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

454658

0xd6da80a7dc71d6fac524ac3a35d306d97777a639

Realised P&L
$86.44
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$7.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9100.900$6.92$0.08
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.0300.028$0.55$0.05
Spread: 76ers (-2.5) · 76ers0.6700.000$0.00$9.96
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5 · Under0.9400.000$0.00$9.96
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28? · No0.8600.000$0.00$9.97
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$9.96
Spread: Magic (-5.5) · Grizzlies0.7000.000$0.00$9.82
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12? · No0.8200.000$0.00$9.96
Senators vs. Predators · Senators0.9400.000$0.00$17.86
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$9.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18? · Yes0.9590.000$0.00$9.97
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? · No0.9000.000$0.00$9.96
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28? · No0.8100.000$0.00$9.94
Utah vs. Hurricanes · Utah0.7500.000$0.00$9.96
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$9.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 02:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8599999902$7.00
08-06 02:28Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.91$7.00
08-06 02:28Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.88$9.51
07-04 02:52Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999833$8.00
05-08 05:19Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.759999924$6.00
05-08 05:19Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.7979999882$5.00
05-08 05:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.9679998503$6.00
03-13 21:53Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?BUY0.9$9.96
03-13 21:35Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?BUY0.96$9.96
03-13 21:33Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?BUY0.94$9.96
03-13 20:54Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13?SELL0.99$3.99
03-13 20:54Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?BUY0.93$9.97
03-13 20:53Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-13?BUY0.957$3.86
03-13 19:22Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?BUY0.96$9.96
03-13 18:46Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?BUY0.96$9.96