OranG3cluB
0xd6d99b6460b0744a39262d638ed4a63bb3ee4c90
- Realised P&L
- $94.87
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $397.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.397 | $397.00 | +$267.00 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$421.39 |
| Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-04-19? · Yes | 0.678 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$567.00 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$507.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$945.00at 0.370Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$470.00at 0.530Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
- +$270.00at 0.460Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
- +$235.29at 0.680Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?
- +$180.00at 0.640Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 17:05 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.49 | $210.70 |
| 04-19 14:25 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19? | BUY | 0.4790471 | $464.07 |
| 03-26 17:23 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $500.00 |
| 02-04 19:40 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $99.28 |
| 02-01 10:30 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01? | BUY | 0.64 | $320.00 |
| 01-19 19:39 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $300.00 |
| 01-18 14:52 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18? | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |
| 01-09 15:40 | Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $200.00 |
| 01-07 18:48 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-07? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $150.00 |
| 01-07 16:02 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07? | BUY | 0.6999999995 | $150.00 |
| 01-07 16:02 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $300.00 |
| 01-06 18:18 | Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 01-04 09:53 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04? | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $150.00 |
| 01-04 09:53 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $150.00 |
| 01-04 09:22 | Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | BUY | 0.3277623428 | $133.00 |