RuneCapital
0xd6d7c598a5be392b72673caede59dc91ff4e0e1f
- Realised P&L
- $52.84
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $295.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? · No | 0.993 | 0.994 | $129.16 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30? · No | 0.987 | 0.979 | $119.26 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 29? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $23.32 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on September 29? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $18.45 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.12at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 26?
- +$3.33at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?
- +$2.52at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 6?
- +$1.94at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 25?
- +$1.60at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $108.19 |
| 09-28 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.07 |
| 09-28 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.993 | $129.09 |
| 09-28 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.93 |
| 09-27 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.62 |
| 09-27 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 09-27 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.42 |
| 09-27 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-27 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |