PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RuneCapital

0xd6d7c598a5be392b72673caede59dc91ff4e0e1f

Realised P&L
$52.84
Volume
$8.1k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$295.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? · No0.9930.994$129.16+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30? · No0.9870.979$119.26−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 29? · No0.9951.000$23.32+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on September 29? · No0.9981.000$18.45+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28? · No0.9801.000$5.00+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 17:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.988$108.19
09-28 17:20Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.98$12.07
09-28 17:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.993$129.09
09-28 00:03Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.99$5.93
09-27 18:13Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 28?BUY0.996$99.62
09-27 18:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.996$19.92
09-27 17:55Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on September 29?BUY0.998$18.42
09-27 17:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:46Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:45Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95
09-27 17:45Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.95