home2
0xd6bedd6bfeeeda948c413562e4f83f8f63231758
- Realised P&L
- $-304.64
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $120.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.81at 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$55.24at 0.420Vikings vs. Rams
- +$51.63at 0.492Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$48.33at 0.420Seahawks vs. Falcons
- +$41.70at 0.590Texans vs. Packers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.994 | $120.00 |
| 10-02 16:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.00 |
| 09-25 19:23 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.00 |
| 09-04 19:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9979999997 | $120.00 |
| 08-25 15:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BUY | 0.990999996 | $119.00 |
| 08-18 18:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.998 | $240.00 |
| 08-05 17:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9985770028 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 15:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $240.00 |
| 07-26 13:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 07-26 13:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.0138036811 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 12:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 24? | BUY | 0.996 | $244.00 |
| 07-19 19:39 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? | BUY | 0.8 | $35.00 |
| 07-19 07:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 13:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.996490422 | $235.00 |
| 07-01 15:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $200.00 |