PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

home2

0xd6bedd6bfeeeda948c413562e4f83f8f63231758

Realised P&L
$-304.64
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$120.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? · No0.9940.997$120.30+$0.30
Sharks vs. Hurricanes · Sharks0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs · Buccaneers0.2100.000$0.00−$20.00
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$15.00
Colts vs. Texans · Colts0.3200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 6? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$25.00
Ethereum all time high by June 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$30.00
Browns vs. Eagles · Browns0.2100.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 18:56Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.994$120.00
10-02 16:05Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 28-October 4?BUY0.998$120.00
09-25 19:23Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?BUY0.998$120.00
09-04 19:36Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?BUY0.9979999997$120.00
08-25 15:10Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?BUY0.990999996$119.00
08-18 18:17Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?BUY0.998$240.00
08-05 17:56Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 3-9?BUY0.9985770028$200.00
07-30 15:11Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.999$240.00
07-26 13:00Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 20-26?BUY0.999$200.00
07-26 13:00Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?BUY0.0138036811$3.00
07-24 12:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 24?BUY0.996$244.00
07-19 19:39Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?BUY0.8$35.00
07-19 07:14Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?BUY0.999$200.00
07-07 13:58Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?BUY0.996490422$235.00
07-01 15:37Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.998$200.00