gzrhxsrtj
0xd6b7f0d1b1a2c0847d1a42e744272eb6c4b6472d
- Realised P&L
- $-27.18
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $33.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.205 | $31.16 | −$34.20 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.992 | $2.49 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.44at 0.745Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
- +$0.85at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $120K September 1–7?
- +$0.72at 0.900Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$0.67at 0.963Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$0.53at 0.869Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:49 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.50 |
| 08-10 08:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? | BUY | 0.9669999948 | $2.80 |
| 07-06 03:22 | Will Solana reach $140 in July? | BUY | 0.9919995159 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 16:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 09:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.50 |
| 05-09 05:09 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 04-24 07:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9879997043 | $2.78 |
| 04-24 06:58 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 01-23 06:33 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.51 |
| 01-07 03:30 | Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.996 | $41.30 |
| 01-07 03:29 | Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 12-06 14:31 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999455 | $15.00 |
| 12-06 14:27 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9839999651 | $20.30 |
| 12-06 14:10 | Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.9879999693 | $17.65 |
| 11-17 05:59 | Will NVIDIA reach $288 in November? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.90 |