zys2025
0xd6b7b4d64120405b5c92141811c40ece32d82ea2
- Realised P&L
- $-78.53
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $45.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.365 | $45.76 | +$15.47 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.35at 0.300Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$15.80at 0.637Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$12.27at 0.820Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?
- +$2.70at 0.860Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$-0.25at 0.025US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:36 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:35 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.249 | $7.47 |
| 10-29 15:33 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.249 | $9.46 |
| 10-29 15:32 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.241 | $2.74 |
| 10-29 15:29 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.912 | $27.35 |
| 09-26 09:44 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0504964539 | $7.12 |
| 09-19 14:34 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 09-18 03:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0212942943 | $0.21 |
| 09-15 13:45 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 09-14 09:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 02:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |