LeoCaspar
0xd6b753adb9f025ca99708c150b1efe2a306b0320
- Realised P&L
- $-170.33
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $9.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.041 | $6.31 | −$13.69 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No | 0.110 | 0.037 | $3.36 | −$6.64 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.72 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 07:43 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 04-08 07:42 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 07:41 | Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 07:41 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $9.44 |
| 04-08 07:40 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.0189696865 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 07:34 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.0519999976 | $20.00 |
| 04-08 07:09 | Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2243409983 | $100.00 |