VingardiumLeviosa
0xd6b4c89970fb3d327d34616902dac564cb5a9a46
- Realised P&L
- $18.22
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $143.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.969 | $52.98 | +$0.82 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.962 | $46.57 | +$0.12 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.949 | 0.931 | $44.01 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.950Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
- +$2.00at 0.940Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.948Macron out by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.51at 0.971Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$1.34at 0.940Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 07:32 | Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $51.86 |
| 04-08 05:17 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999667 | $21.34 |