A-REAL-N
0xd6abb774ba000302bf3925480f496bcda44c86bf
- Realised P&L
- $-180.88
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $81.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.20at 0.520Will Brice Turang lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?
- +$11.00at 0.780Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$9.00at 0.320Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$8.24at 0.340Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$8.22at 0.758Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 11:09 | Will Williams (WMB) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-29 10:45 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-29 10:25 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 10-29 10:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 10:01 | Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.64 | $23.75 |
| 10-29 09:58 | Will Estée Lauder (EL) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.1939317449 | $24.66 |
| 10-29 09:58 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-29 09:58 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-29 09:53 | Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.7918985 | $15.84 |
| 10-29 09:46 | Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 10-29 09:46 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-29 09:46 | Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-29 09:46 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-29 09:46 | Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |