PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Xiaoqiu2

0xd6a48e2287224346e0b13265c6bf9b46680f823f

Realised P&L
$-593.77
Volume
$180.4k
Markets traded
654
Open portfolio
$277.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded654
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · No0.9990.999$121.94−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9990.997$93.81−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No0.9990.998$61.92−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 00:06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?BUY0.999$122.00
10-09 23:54Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?BUY0.9987245445$62.00
10-09 23:54Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on October 11?BUY0.999$94.00
10-07 02:37Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.9987980046$277.00
09-29 23:31Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.9959637339$276.00
09-27 23:29Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.999$230.00
09-27 23:29Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.999$46.00
09-22 23:30Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.9908656039$161.00
09-20 23:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on September 22?BUY0.998301188$210.00
09-19 23:32Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.9791893476$269.00
09-19 00:39Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.9861654898$265.00
09-17 00:03Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.9983564927$265.00
09-14 23:51Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.9986677887$260.00
09-13 23:32Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 14?BUY0.999$264.00
09-10 23:17Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 11?BUY0.9899999987$262.00