Saiy007
0xd6a1ff782343c5a93c6cb2a202396665018fd362
- Realised P&L
- $303.59
- Volume
- $373.0k
- Markets traded
- 635
- Open portfolio
- $22.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded635
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.15at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11AM ET
- +$40.49at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?
- +$36.00at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?
- +$33.31at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?
- +$30.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 10-21 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-21 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 04:12 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 20:52 | Celtics vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.69 | $3.44 |
| 10-20 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-20 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-20 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.39 |
| 10-20 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 10-20 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $3.95 |
| 10-20 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-19 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 10-19 08:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 10-19 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |