0xD698b8B37c2DDBaDac671E34193759aeC9c4F120-1771081279135
0xd698b8b37c2ddbadac671e34193759aec9c4f120
- Realised P&L
- $10.12
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $97.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.925 | $92.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $4.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? · No | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.34 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.940Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$5.28at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
- +$5.09at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$5.09at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$4.18at 0.619Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 10:26 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-11 10:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 06-13 07:51 | Spread: Qatar (-2.5) | BUY | 0.996 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 08:30 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 20:33 | Will Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.958 | $9.58 |
| 05-15 12:15 | Will Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.91 |
| 05-14 23:17 | Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.91 |
| 05-14 23:09 | Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 05-12 11:19 | Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 04-09 11:39 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 04-07 08:57 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 08:55 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 03-29 19:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 03-20 11:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |