PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15f74dsT03lbx49505

0xd68e95bd9aacac9fe57c951393feaa613cddf46b

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$122.3k
Markets traded
403
Open portfolio
$0.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded403
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.0200.001$0.03−$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?SELL0.28$1.40
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.3$1.50
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?SELL0.71$1.42
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.72$1.44
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?SELL0.28$1.12
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.29$1.16
09-24 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?SELL0.28$1.12
09-24 10:16Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.3$1.20
09-24 08:23Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?SELL0.35$1.05
09-24 08:18Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.37$1.11
09-24 08:04Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.02$1.00
09-23 13:23Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?SELL0.43$0.95
09-23 13:22Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
07-10 16:27Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 10?SELL0.0307524777$19.64
07-10 15:28Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 10?BUY0.699999993$20.00