0x15f74dsT03lbx49505
0xd68e95bd9aacac9fe57c951393feaa613cddf46b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $122.3k
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$713.29at 0.460Hawks vs. Heat
- +$290.21at 0.379Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$166.44at 0.860Alabama vs. Duke
- +$129.28at 0.877Bucks vs. Nuggets
- +$103.71at 0.793Jazz vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.42 |
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.44 |
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.12 |
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.16 |
| 09-24 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.12 |
| 09-24 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 09-24 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 09-24 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.95 |
| 09-23 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.0307524777 | $19.64 |
| 07-10 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 10? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |