badgurl2007
0xd68c598f48c7f5bd81f6b73f6d4ce5f192e8c2f1
- Realised P&L
- $-10.54
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $62.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.645 | $19.35 | +$15.15 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No | 0.855 | 0.500 | $10.00 | −$7.10 |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.180 | $9.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.282 | $7.06 | +$4.11 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? · No | 0.850 | 0.500 | $5.00 | −$3.50 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$2.25 |
| Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.051 | $2.55 | −$0.50 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No | 0.480 | 0.500 | $2.50 | +$0.10 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No | 0.850 | 0.500 | $2.50 | −$1.75 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.60 |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.20at 0.070Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$36.60at 0.085Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$19.00at 0.050Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$18.60at 0.070Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$18.59at 0.070Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 11:48 | Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.061 | $3.05 |
| 01-18 16:28 | Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.118 | $2.95 |
| 01-18 16:22 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 01-18 16:21 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 01-18 16:21 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 10-03 18:38 | Will Base launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.11 | $21.76 |
| 10-03 18:36 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-18 15:21 | Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 07-18 15:20 | Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-18 15:19 | Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 07-18 15:19 | Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-18 15:18 | Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-18 15:18 | Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-18 15:18 | Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-18 15:18 | Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |