BettingKlaus
0xd685314901c0d27d39b4014de30644a39d288be9
- Realised P&L
- $14.1k
- Volume
- $2.69M
- Markets traded
- 1,246
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,246
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.145 | $725.00 | −$2.3k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.065 | $650.00 | −$3.5k |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.075 | $75.00 | −$185.00 |
| Will XRP reach $2.20 in August? · No | 0.941 | 0.993 | $39.55 | +$2.07 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.260 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$519.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.8kat 0.174Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
- +$8.4kat 0.162US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.189US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.017Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.3kat 0.463US military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 18:25 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 05-23 18:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $850.00 |
| 04-25 09:26 | Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27? | SELL | 0.04 | $7.80 |
| 04-11 17:53 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? | SELL | 0.988 | $407.31 |
| 04-11 14:44 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $749.76 |
| 03-09 20:36 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.925 | $44.99 |
| 03-09 19:39 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 03-09 19:39 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | BUY | 0.82 | $10.66 |
| 03-09 18:35 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 18:28 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $28.29 |
| 03-09 18:13 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.08 |
| 03-09 18:01 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.49 |
| 03-09 18:01 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $61.24 |
| 03-08 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $96.17 |
| 03-08 11:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8721482586 | $418.34 |