BettingKlaus
0xd685314901c0d27d39b4014de30644a39d288be9
- Realised P&L
- $20.0k
- Volume
- $2.72M
- Markets traded
- 1,274
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,274
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $905.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? · No | 0.991 | 0.993 | $672.39 | +$1.02 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.065 | $650.00 | −$3.5k |
| Will Solana reach $190 in October? · No | 0.961 | 0.978 | $501.28 | +$8.46 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No | 0.830 | 0.840 | $420.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Solana reach $200 in October? · No | 0.972 | 0.984 | $35.13 | +$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.8kat 0.173Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
- +$8.4kat 0.162US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.189US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.017Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.3kat 0.463US military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:37 | UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.5712674127 | $1.1k |
| 09-25 07:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.894 | $7.15 |
| 09-25 07:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.896 | $4.48 |
| 09-21 15:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.845 | $80.11 |
| 09-20 17:11 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 09-20 17:09 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-12 19:39 | Noche UFC: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 09-12 19:39 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 08-31 20:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $78.56 |
| 05-23 18:25 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 05-23 18:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $850.00 |
| 04-25 09:26 | Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27? | SELL | 0.04 | $7.80 |
| 04-11 17:53 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? | SELL | 0.988 | $407.31 |
| 04-11 14:44 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $749.76 |
| 03-09 20:36 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.925 | $44.99 |