0xd6843617d8f01745053ccf4c45c0c6467d39ebb8
0xd6843617d8f01745053ccf4c45c0c6467d39ebb8
- Realised P&L
- $-9.00
- Volume
- $210.62
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.260 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.210 | $1.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.308Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.83at 0.420Will Trump say "Crime" 15+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$1.79at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.64at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 06:12 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 10:10 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 23:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 06:03 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? | BUY | 0.6699996951 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 20:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 22:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 02:22 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 06:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 05:22 | Will Trump say "Crime" 15+ times during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 18:34 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |