0xd683538f1db5b2aafab63b8af6a47546cdf73c0c
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $20.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$733.87at 0.257Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$660.99at 0.299Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
- +$377.32at 0.032Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$202.44at 0.581Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$187.07at 0.400US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:59 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.0847283167 | $59.45 |
| 10-03 14:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $63.21 |
| 09-22 19:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999962 | $36.23 |
| 09-22 12:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2230483268 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 12:14 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $90.81 |
| 09-21 15:03 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $4.72 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $6.55 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $50.21 |
| 09-19 12:42 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.13 |
| 09-16 12:02 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.159 | $3.18 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.1545300108 | $47.35 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.154 | $0.95 |
| 09-16 12:00 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.10097 | $100.97 |
| 09-13 15:49 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.5497959142 | $269.39 |
| 09-13 15:49 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $20.52 |