0xd681f360e3cd3c7c66b657f34e56cd526fac4c5a
- Realised P&L
- $-213.99
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $263.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.57at 0.150Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$29.32at 0.330Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$19.72at 0.430Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$17.56at 0.423Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$17.21at 0.417Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 11:29 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.642 | $12.39 |
| 09-09 05:10 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.638 | $12.50 |
| 09-08 17:40 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.27 | $14.43 |
| 09-04 22:46 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.53 | $9.64 |
| 09-03 01:35 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.66 | $12.00 |
| 08-29 21:10 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $12.05 |
| 08-29 20:41 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.65 |
| 08-28 17:30 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $12.30 |
| 08-22 05:43 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.41 | $13.31 |
| 08-15 14:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.54 |
| 08-11 00:27 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.19 |
| 08-09 21:43 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.15 |
| 08-02 13:40 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $9.07 |
| 08-02 00:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.465 | $9.25 |
| 08-01 20:40 | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.08 |