PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Marco-Rubio

0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780

Realised P&L
$75.8k
Volume
$5.74M
Markets traded
1,144
Open portfolio
$29.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,144
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8980.951$9.5k+$528.07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8260.945$4.7k+$595.00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9000.956$4.3k+$253.05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5580.745$1.9k+$468.30
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · No0.6600.810$1.6k+$300.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · No0.7650.920$1.6k+$272.42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7900.730$1.5k$120.00
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.3430.230$1.0k$513.95
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8700.948$948.00+$78.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.8670.966$522.50+$53.80
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.8200.870$521.11+$29.95
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? · No0.2770.335$429.35+$74.45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4530.285$284.90$168.52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1040.128$56.91+$10.49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0180.011$44.48$23.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.38$4.40
08-02 03:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5093010759$1.4k
08-02 03:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.39$3.41
08-02 03:25Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.1$303.54
08-02 03:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.41$3.70
08-02 03:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.7187871955$1.2k
08-02 03:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.6530759164$494.05
08-02 03:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.53$795.01
07-31 22:26Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.1$27.75
07-31 22:19Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0170268075$125.76
07-31 22:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1$150.00
07-31 22:05Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.27$1.8k
07-31 21:24Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.020599692$103.00
07-31 21:21Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3341477774$572.12
07-31 21:19Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.01892663$100.83