Marco-Rubio
0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780
- Realised P&L
- $75.8k
- Volume
- $5.74M
- Markets traded
- 1,144
- Open portfolio
- $29.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.408Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$4.1kat 0.766Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$3.6kat 0.294Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
- +$3.4kat 0.189US strikes Iraq by March 7?
- +$3.3kat 0.542Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.40 |
| 08-02 03:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5093010759 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 03:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.41 |
| 08-02 03:25 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $303.54 |
| 08-02 03:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.70 |
| 08-02 03:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.7187871955 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 03:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.6530759164 | $494.05 |
| 08-02 03:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $795.01 |
| 07-31 22:26 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $27.75 |
| 07-31 22:19 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.0170268075 | $125.76 |
| 07-31 22:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 22:05 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.8k |
| 07-31 21:24 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.020599692 | $103.00 |
| 07-31 21:21 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.3341477774 | $572.12 |
| 07-31 21:19 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.01892663 | $100.83 |