PolyBot

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Traders

Marco-Rubio

0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780

Realised P&L
$76.2k
Volume
$6.34M
Markets traded
1,235
Open portfolio
$21.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,235
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8980.965$9.6k+$663.07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8260.971$4.9k+$725.00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9000.981$4.4k+$365.55
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1400.135$1.3k−$50.00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8700.968$967.50+$97.50
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.3430.080$360.72−$1.2k
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6240.525$106.87−$20.24
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0760.045$81.31−$55.34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1040.100$44.42−$2.01
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22? · Yes0.2980.415$10.79+$3.05
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28? · Yes0.2700.330$1.65+$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 23:59Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.62$620.00
10-27 01:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.93$823.37
10-23 20:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.985$12.08
10-23 20:02NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$1.7k
10-23 20:02NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$6.64
10-23 20:01NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2065801954$175.11
10-23 20:01NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$178.93
10-23 17:37NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4628791491$504.82
10-23 11:29US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.93$159.86
10-22 17:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.83$781.03
10-21 22:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.8326091333$1.2k
10-21 21:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.7918281443$218.21
10-21 20:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.88599666$1.3k
10-21 20:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.88597659$1.8k
10-21 20:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.865995005$3.5k