PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

akrnow

0xd66ecfa79c57d834247f2af295380e2a916bc9ac

Realised P&L
$2.04
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$5.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? · Yes0.9200.945$4.72+$0.13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? · No0.0800.055$0.27−$0.12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 29? · Yes0.0400.011$0.06−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:07Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 19?BUY0.46$2.30
09-16 16:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 16?BUY0.001$0.01
09-07 00:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 7?BUY0.6$3.00
07-29 19:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 30?BUY0.32$1.60
07-28 23:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 29?BUY0.56$2.80
07-26 16:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 27?BUY0.32412$1.62
07-23 16:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 24?BUY0.4$2.00
07-21 23:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 22?BUY0.25$1.25
07-20 19:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 21?BUY0.46$2.30
07-20 18:06Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 21?BUY0.4$2.00
07-15 21:54Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 16?BUY0.732$3.66
07-15 21:48Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 16?BUY0.737$3.69
07-14 19:45Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 15?BUY0.69$3.45
07-14 19:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 15?BUY0.69$3.45
07-13 16:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 14?BUY0.24$1.20