Sam7810
0xd66e8d104bfd035349c27a305ba6dbee56363e87
- Realised P&L
- $-361.81
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 337
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded337
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.220 | $3.74 | −$3.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.82at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$15.49at 0.361Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$15.47at 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$14.50at 0.388Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$12.51at 0.416Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 21:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $8.21 |
| 09-22 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.56 |
| 09-22 21:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $3.15 |
| 09-22 01:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 01:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $13.20 |
| 09-21 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-21 23:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 09-20 00:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-20 00:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.93 |
| 09-20 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 00:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 02:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.93 |