PolyBot

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Traders

0xd66da0c713741ce6872e93aabeb7591c705e0884

0xd66da0c713741ce6872e93aabeb7591c705e0884

Realised P&L
$272.23
Volume
$22.4k
Markets traded
367
Open portfolio
$4.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded367
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1? · Yes0.1780.050$2.20−$5.65
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? · Yes0.0640.006$0.80−$7.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 2? · Yes0.1300.060$0.54−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 1? · Yes0.0340.003$0.43−$5.53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on October 1? · Yes0.0120.002$0.07−$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 17:35Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 2?BUY0.1299999989$1.16
09-30 16:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.0430188679$1.14
09-30 16:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.05$1.14
09-30 15:43Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.0341583268$1.14
09-30 15:43Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.0469019995$1.14
09-30 15:43Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.0810320265$2.53
09-30 15:41Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or below on October 1?BUY0.018220035$0.42
09-30 15:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.0236547541$1.00
09-30 15:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.0766666667$1.15
09-30 15:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.1799999957$6.68
09-30 15:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.1699999985$1.17
09-30 14:58Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.0108987112$1.14
09-30 14:08Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?SELL0.977632538$45.07
09-29 20:06Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.1399999879$1.16
09-29 18:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.1399999976$1.17