gouy
0xd66aac462e6850c0d56c107af87ebb033eb0d5b8
- Realised P&L
- $-260.24
- Volume
- $72.7k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $4.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $4.65 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.62at 0.797Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
- +$56.58at 0.760Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?
- +$34.00at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
- +$32.89at 0.869Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?
- +$31.63at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-30 01:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.472 | $25.96 |
| 10-15 13:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.57 | $16.00 |
| 10-14 13:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 10-07 10:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 10-02 17:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-02 17:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 01:42 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $24.88 |
| 09-14 15:14 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $24.90 |
| 09-14 06:42 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $11.77 |
| 08-20 03:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.13 |
| 08-11 15:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-09 07:41 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.981 | $11.77 |
| 08-09 06:12 | Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 07-05 04:37 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.991 | $44.59 |