PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gouy

0xd66aac462e6850c0d56c107af87ebb033eb0d5b8

Realised P&L
$-260.24
Volume
$72.7k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$4.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? · Yes0.4700.465$4.65−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:34Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?BUY0.47$4.70
10-30 01:40Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.472$25.96
10-15 13:11Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.57$16.00
10-14 13:16Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.24$3.60
10-07 10:45Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.38$7.60
10-02 17:27Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.55$11.00
10-02 17:26Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.25$10.00
09-15 01:42Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.995$24.88
09-14 15:14Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.996$24.90
09-14 06:42Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$11.77
08-20 03:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?SELL0.013$0.13
08-11 15:46Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?BUY0.18$1.80
08-09 07:41Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.981$11.77
08-09 06:12Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?SELL0.11$2.20
07-05 04:37Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.991$44.59