New917
0xd66196189fee25e395d55dcc966cdfc27e0d2750
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 2,286
- Open portfolio
- $514.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,286
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.460 | $350.81 | +$265.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.675 | $112.13 | +$53.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.095 | $26.60 | +$7.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.060 | $21.73 | −$11.73 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.190 | $2.91 | +$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.222Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
- +$1.6kat 0.205Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?
- +$1.5kat 0.336Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.437Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?
- +$1.2kat 0.296Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.22 |
| 09-18 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0681401352 | $5.54 |
| 09-18 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1573901527 | $10.10 |
| 09-18 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1433 | $14.33 |
| 09-18 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1417321732 | $14.17 |
| 09-18 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0956322692 | $3.86 |
| 09-18 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0922220549 | $36.75 |
| 09-18 21:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.1366168495 | $11.34 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.086387851 | $7.17 |
| 09-18 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $27.53 |
| 09-18 15:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 09-18 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.19014 | $3.80 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.175 | $3.50 |
| 09-18 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.27898 | $8.37 |