0xd660F14287F85C283F86D9794169Ba1c6bbDe8d9-1724781431080
0xd660f14287f85c283f86d9794169ba1c6bbde8d9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $339.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.71at 0.370Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$117.14at 0.588Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$43.56at 0.670Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.87at 0.790Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$31.26at 0.760Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:37 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.68 |
| 08-05 08:59 | Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 08-05 05:58 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.98 |
| 08-05 03:07 | Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.608 | $4.94 |
| 08-05 02:30 | Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 08-05 01:48 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 08-05 00:36 | Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.93 |
| 08-04 22:48 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.34 |
| 08-04 21:04 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.97 |
| 08-04 20:48 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:21 | Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 08-04 16:51 | Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 08-04 14:08 | Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.04 |