tokyobank
0xd65c639b8a10e2bbc01224c3a3fe8eaefbbd645b
- Realised P&L
- $-28.88
- Volume
- $403.77
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.115 | $3.42 | −$7.58 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.105 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.086 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.67 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.96 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.00at 0.300Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$4.96at 0.600Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$2.53at 0.736Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
- +$1.00at 0.400Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.54at 0.903Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 07:10 | Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999879 | $11.00 |
| 08-03 09:48 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.1799999907 | $13.96 |
| 08-03 09:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $14.23 |
| 07-23 19:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $15.00 |
| 07-23 19:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.8959031877 | $15.18 |
| 07-17 21:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 21:02 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.04 |
| 07-05 21:28 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.3599999917 | $15.67 |
| 07-01 10:04 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 21:01 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999943 | $14.00 |
| 06-01 21:01 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.941 | $10.08 |
| 06-01 21:01 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.78 |
| 05-26 06:29 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 06:29 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 06:29 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9329999537 | $10.00 |