PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tokyobank

0xd65c639b8a10e2bbc01224c3a3fe8eaefbbd645b

Realised P&L
$-28.88
Volume
$403.77
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$3.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.115$3.42−$7.58
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7100.105$0.15−$0.85
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.9950.086$0.09−$0.91
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$15.67
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$13.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 07:10Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999879$11.00
08-03 09:48Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.1799999907$13.96
08-03 09:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.75$14.23
07-23 19:08Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7899999989$15.00
07-23 19:08Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.8959031877$15.18
07-17 21:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
07-17 21:02Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$11.04
07-05 21:28Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.3599999917$15.67
07-01 10:04Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
06-01 21:01Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5699999943$14.00
06-01 21:01Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.941$10.08
06-01 21:01Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?SELL0.91$9.78
05-26 06:29Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
05-26 06:29Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
05-26 06:29Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9329999537$10.00