Neak
0xd6589b77269ff31c64efceb73e949faf2ac5281c
- Realised P&L
- $5.77
- Volume
- $428.10
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $9.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.50at 0.220Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$6.81at 0.595Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.54at 0.710Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$3.78at 0.390Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$3.31at 0.239LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:53 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:26 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 08:23 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 19:27 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 18:57 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 18:57 | LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 08:04 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 08:04 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 08:03 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 11:17 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 11:14 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 11:13 | Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 11:10 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:06 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 05:10 | Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0919999934 | $1.00 |