w45g
0xd655e77be8789382a27214e9055712a7982b0d1a
- Realised P&L
- $-119.50
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $23.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? · No | 0.883 | 0.915 | $13.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.994 | $9.86 | +$0.26 |
| Canadiens vs. Penguins · Canadiens | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.43 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.979Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
- +$0.02at 0.981Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
- +$0.01at 0.989Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?
- +$0.01at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.989Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.53 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? | BUY | 0.8832061064 | $13.00 |
| 07-12 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.55 |
| 07-12 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959996545 | $1.28 |
| 07-12 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.40 |
| 07-12 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999985 | $1.30 |
| 07-09 16:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.26 |
| 07-09 16:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July? | BUY | 0.9949996964 | $1.18 |
| 07-09 16:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9939999969 | $1.27 |
| 07-09 16:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.32 |
| 07-09 16:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9879999965 | $1.14 |
| 07-09 16:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.36 |
| 07-09 16:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.26 |
| 07-09 16:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.27 |