PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

w45g

0xd655e77be8789382a27214e9055712a7982b0d1a

Realised P&L
$-119.50
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$23.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027? · No0.8830.915$13.47+$0.47
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.994$9.86+$0.26
Canadiens vs. Penguins · Canadiens0.5100.000$0.00$119.43
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.995$1.53
08-02 22:00Will Sui reach $2.50 before 2027?BUY0.8832061064$13.00
07-12 07:05Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.995$1.50
07-12 07:05Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.999$1.55
07-12 07:05Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.9959996545$1.28
07-12 07:04Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?BUY0.99$1.40
07-12 07:04Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?BUY0.9969999985$1.30
07-09 16:38Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?BUY0.998$1.26
07-09 16:38Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?BUY0.9949996964$1.18
07-09 16:38Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?BUY0.9939999969$1.27
07-09 16:37Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?BUY0.988$1.32
07-09 16:37Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?BUY0.9879999965$1.14
07-09 16:37Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on July 9?BUY0.998$1.36
07-09 16:37Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 9?BUY0.995$1.26
07-09 16:37Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 9?BUY0.99$1.27