PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pastey

0xd6546408d1506f8df44d86aef72dec1b71072efe

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$115.8k
Markets traded
2,927
Open portfolio
$246.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,927
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25? · No0.8830.870$91.35−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? · No0.7750.975$80.47+$16.47
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 26? · No0.9180.905$46.16−$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 27? · No0.9450.955$19.09+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 25? · No0.9010.890$9.88−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 25? · Yes0.4690.001$0.02−$19.79
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$9.65
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29? · No0.7770.000$0.00−$16.60
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$7.83
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on July 22? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on July 21? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 18:26Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25?SELL0.97$12.63
09-25 18:24Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?BUY0.86$17.20
09-25 18:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?BUY0.86$25.80
09-25 18:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?BUY0.85$12.75
09-25 18:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?BUY0.92$13.80
09-25 17:58Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 26?SELL0.85$35.09
09-25 17:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25?SELL0.999$26.28
09-25 17:39Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?BUY0.92$18.40
09-25 17:33Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25?BUY0.78$7.80
09-25 17:28Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25?SELL0.95$4.75
09-25 16:53Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.78$19.52
09-25 16:53Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.78$31.20
09-25 16:52Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25?BUY0.67$6.70
09-25 16:47Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 26?BUY0.85$34.00
09-25 16:45Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.77$11.55