pastey
0xd6546408d1506f8df44d86aef72dec1b71072efe
- Realised P&L
- $-876.07
- Volume
- $83.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,214
- Open portfolio
- $285.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,214
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.38at 0.349Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?
- +$71.24at 0.436Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?
- +$46.60at 0.727Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?
- +$39.90at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?
- +$38.62at 0.697Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 08-09 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 08-09 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.98 | $13.06 |
| 08-09 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.82 |
| 08-09 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.32 |
| 08-09 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.47 |
| 08-09 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 08-09 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.58 |
| 08-08 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.40 |
| 08-08 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 08-08 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 08-08 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 19:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-08 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.63 | $8.19 |