pastey
0xd6546408d1506f8df44d86aef72dec1b71072efe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $115.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,927
- Open portfolio
- $246.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,927
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.09at 0.636Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?
- +$89.23at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?
- +$69.39at 0.448Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?
- +$51.45at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 13?
- +$39.50at 0.736Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.97 | $12.63 |
| 09-25 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-25 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 09-25 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-25 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.80 |
| 09-25 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.85 | $35.09 |
| 09-25 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.28 |
| 09-25 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-25 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-25 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-25 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $19.52 |
| 09-25 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $31.20 |
| 09-25 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-25 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 09-25 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $11.55 |