Nyxtral
0xd6540e13eec309fff1ccb069be7278e2ab2245c2
- Realised P&L
- $392.72
- Volume
- $54.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $6.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.230 | $6.90 | −$6.00 |
| Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.004 | $0.09 | −$2.30 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.00 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.40 |
| PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky · PortlandFire | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury · Seattle Storm | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.70 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) · Warriors | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$440.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.58 |
| New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces · Las Vegas Aces | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$559.99 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$690.00 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty · Minnesota Lynx | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$233.70 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$486.00 |
| PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm · Seattle Storm | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$592.80at 0.407Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun
- +$519.86at 0.691Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces
- +$509.34at 0.452Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- +$478.70at 0.521Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
- +$344.00at 0.640Magic vs. Bucks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:13 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 09-02 01:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 08-27 04:49 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-17 10:30 | Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-16 02:15 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-10 01:50 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 08-04 03:42 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 07-29 11:44 | Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 07-22 09:34 | Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.68 | $102.00 |
| 07-22 09:34 | Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.77 | $200.20 |
| 07-22 09:34 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.44 | $409.20 |
| 07-22 09:33 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.81 | $656.10 |
| 07-21 02:10 | New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings | SELL | 0.45 | $54.01 |
| 07-21 02:10 | New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings | SELL | 0.45 | $11.24 |
| 07-21 02:10 | New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings | SELL | 0.45 | $4.95 |