PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

scenique

0xd650372f6a164c5912fea8ca9eb421e9047e003d

Realised P&L
$-82.31
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$19.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4000.385$19.25$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 13:52Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.5097222222$18.35
09-22 07:55Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.45$9.00
09-22 02:19Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.53$13.25
09-22 02:13Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.45$10.94
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18?SELL0.4107391304$18.89
09-18 14:38Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.54$5.40
09-18 14:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.54$2.70
09-18 05:40Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.56$11.20
09-18 01:55Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.38$19.00
09-16 16:01Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.18$3.60
09-15 14:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.11$5.50
09-12 16:35Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.53$5.30
09-12 16:34Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.54$5.40
09-07 05:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?BUY0.996$5.00
09-03 07:21AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?SELL0.11$13.51