PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

uprightuser

0xd64e1a97d46f2ba860a56470ac6f47e5bcda5516

Realised P&L
$-42.9k
Volume
$12.05M
Markets traded
386
Open portfolio
$38.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded386
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6670.695$17.0k+$687.67
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5800.745$6.3k+$1.4k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2900.948$4.7k+$3.3k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7700.935$4.7k+$825.00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.025$1.0k$19.0k
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8500.840$776.52$9.24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6100.855$725.20+$207.80
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.017$660.00$19.3k
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4990.009$334.48$19.3k
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.011$304.71+$78.01
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.004$187.55$128.41
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4990.004$180.00$19.8k
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$150.00$49.9k
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$150.00$49.9k
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$150.00$49.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-29 22:44Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.023$1.9k
04-29 02:35Will Jason Corley be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL0.01$0.05
04-29 02:34Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL0.01$0.05
04-21 21:59USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.16$9.30
04-18 00:55Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.97$2.2k
04-10 02:25Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL0.01$0.62
03-31 04:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.971$3.4k
03-31 03:36Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?BUY0.999$171.27
03-31 03:36Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?BUY0.999$348.66
03-31 03:35Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?BUY0.998$482.96
03-31 01:18France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?BUY0.996$4.2k
03-27 04:23Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY0.99$4.6k
03-26 02:39EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.46$154.78
03-26 01:44US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY0.979605918$3.1k
03-25 07:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?BUY0.96$6.7k