sadnewr
0xd648d8545a7340a3921b7e6bf2fb6bc306cd269f
- Realised P&L
- $30.23
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $155.95
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.845 | $8.49 | +$0.55 |
| Spread: Commanders (-17.5) · Eagles | 0.830 | 0.825 | $8.30 | −$0.05 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.690 | 0.795 | $8.00 | +$1.06 |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) · Eagles | 0.780 | 0.775 | $7.79 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Broncos (-7.5) · Chiefs | 0.810 | 0.750 | $7.55 | −$0.60 |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) · Chargers | 0.820 | 0.730 | $7.34 | −$0.91 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Seahawks | 0.730 | 0.725 | $7.29 | −$0.05 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 34.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.695 | $6.99 | −$0.35 |
| Spread: Rams (-14.5) · Chargers | 0.760 | 0.645 | $6.48 | −$1.16 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Chiefs | 0.670 | 0.605 | $6.09 | −$0.65 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.530 | 0.585 | $5.88 | +$0.55 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.565 | $5.68 | +$0.75 |
| Clippers vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.560 | 0.555 | $5.58 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.520 | 0.535 | $5.38 | +$0.15 |
| Oilers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.515 | $5.18 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.95at 0.052Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner
- +$10.07at 0.094Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu
- +$9.64at 0.521Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
- +$7.47at 0.259Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff
- +$6.13at 0.390Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:54 | Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) | SELL | 0.97 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) | SELL | 0.97 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Spread: Bengals (-21.5) | SELL | 0.97 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 19:44 | Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 | SELL | 0.973 | $9.79 |
| 11-01 19:17 | Jets vs. Hurricanes | SELL | 0.98 | $9.85 |
| 11-01 19:12 | Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 44.5 | SELL | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 11-01 16:58 | Spread: Bengals (-21.5) | BUY | 0.789999993 | $7.94 |
| 11-01 15:39 | Oilers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.03 |
| 11-01 15:15 | Spread: Commanders (-14.5) | BUY | 0.7799999821 | $7.84 |
| 11-01 15:13 | Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $8.04 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $7.34 |
| 11-01 15:04 | Wild vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.789999993 | $7.94 |
| 11-01 14:56 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 34.5 | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $7.34 |
| 11-01 14:37 | Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $6.03 |
| 11-01 14:10 | Spread: Rams (-14.5) | BUY | 0.759999996 | $7.64 |