0xa47A9b
0xd641e1fb3bae3a554ef418b53d8416d78507e37c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $160.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $12.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.122 | $12.0k | +$1.1k |
| US-China trade deal before June? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.53at 0.306TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$0.00at 0.380Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?
- +$-272.88at 0.590Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$-577.93at 0.338Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
- +$-1.9kat 0.142Will Trump save TikTok in first week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:21 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1481068101 | $1.4k |
| 10-30 02:21 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1140258389 | $6.6k |
| 10-24 04:49 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0987712085 | $1.0k |
| 10-19 00:23 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0904242135 | $1.9k |
| 10-18 23:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $40.00 |
| 07-25 18:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | SELL | 0.24 | $187.12 |
| 06-18 20:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.5899999989 | $460.00 |
| 05-12 07:08 | US-China trade deal before June? | BUY | 0.007611618 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 06:26 | US-China trade deal before June? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 03:23 | US-China trade deal before June? | SELL | 0.3720509321 | $765.99 |
| 05-10 01:42 | US-China trade deal before June? | BUY | 0.3399999997 | $700.00 |
| 04-24 21:46 | US-China trade deal before June? | SELL | 0.6555714174 | $2.4k |
| 04-18 00:46 | US-China trade deal before June? | BUY | 0.6124900383 | $999.00 |
| 04-11 20:44 | US-China trade deal before June? | BUY | 0.4088282502 | $849.00 |
| 02-17 00:06 | Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May? | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |