PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd63f278756b8873708c168a6b8a8f9f11724aa9b

0xd63f278756b8873708c168a6b8a8f9f11724aa9b

Realised P&L
$8.61
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$20.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 2 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0430.029$3.32−$1.68
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2970.248$2.50−$0.49
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6320.675$2.14+$0.14
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0030.002$1.50−$1.50
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 3 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0300.019$1.30−$0.70
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0530.053$1.00+$0.00
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0530.052$0.99−$0.01
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 4 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0310.030$0.98−$0.02
Will SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.215$0.98−$0.02
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig? · Yes0.0900.085$0.94−$0.06
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0520.049$0.94−$0.06
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 RB Leipzig? · Yes0.0900.075$0.83−$0.17
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig? · Yes0.0700.055$0.79−$0.21
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 RB Leipzig? · Yes0.0720.055$0.77−$0.23
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 4 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0280.021$0.75−$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 11:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.45$0.94
10-19 11:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-19 11:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSELL0.38$0.82
10-19 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-19 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSELL0.47$0.94
10-19 11:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-18 23:08Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 3 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
10-18 23:04Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 4 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0279999998$1.00
10-18 23:03Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0529999987$1.00
10-18 23:03Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 4 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
10-18 23:02Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
10-18 23:00Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0529999987$1.00
10-18 22:57Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-18 22:57Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 RB Leipzig?BUY0.0718584389$1.00
10-18 22:55Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 RB Leipzig?BUY0.0899999928$1.00