PolyBot

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Traders

0xd63e4546b3c53a45d10de68b66e4baea44297d1c

0xd63e4546b3c53a45d10de68b66e4baea44297d1c

Realised P&L
$-162.52
Volume
$140.8k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$56.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$37.56−$37.55
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$9.09+$3.04
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$5.00−$4.99
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00−$2.00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$1.50−$1.50
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$1.06−$1.06
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$0.53−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6120.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:33Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$4.00
11-01 00:32Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$73.00
10-23 09:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23?BUY0.001$1.09
10-22 03:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22?BUY0.001$1.09
10-20 08:51Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$2.00
10-19 12:00Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.06
10-18 03:52Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.06
10-17 12:14Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.06
10-15 07:21Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.06
10-14 03:18Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.06
10-13 15:02Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.06
10-12 04:42Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-11 06:25Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-10 08:03Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-09 05:42Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00