0xd63e4546b3c53a45d10de68b66e4baea44297d1c
0xd63e4546b3c53a45d10de68b66e4baea44297d1c
- Realised P&L
- $-162.52
- Volume
- $140.8k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $56.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.24at 0.303Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$7.69at 0.217Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$6.87at 0.314Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$3.82at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$3.67at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:33 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 00:32 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $73.00 |
| 10-23 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-22 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-20 08:51 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 12:00 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-18 03:52 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 12:14 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-15 07:21 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-14 03:18 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-13 15:02 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-12 04:42 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:25 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:03 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:42 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |