laganza
0xd63c5144b66e1d29b7b21fe2cd92c26f2988d2f6
- Realised P&L
- $-9.8k
- Volume
- $2.66M
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $20.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.095Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$7.80at 0.220Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 22:37 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.14 |
| 03-27 15:32 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.6k |
| 03-27 15:31 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $59.65 |
| 03-27 15:29 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.028927008 | $374.67 |
| 03-27 15:29 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0272346899 | $328.18 |
| 03-27 15:29 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0154757983 | $1.2k |
| 03-27 15:26 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.2k |
| 03-20 17:14 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.2k |
| 03-20 17:12 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.0k |
| 03-20 17:11 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $185.31 |
| 03-20 17:08 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0429654205 | $221.70 |
| 03-20 17:07 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $897.00 |
| 03-20 17:06 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.017 | $425.00 |
| 03-20 17:04 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0068333333 | $1.0k |
| 03-12 02:20 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008881164 | $1.6k |