PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

laganza

0xd63c5144b66e1d29b7b21fe2cd92c26f2988d2f6

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$2.66M
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$20.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 22:37Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.12$3.14
03-27 15:32Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$1.6k
03-27 15:31Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$59.65
03-27 15:29Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.028927008$374.67
03-27 15:29Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0272346899$328.18
03-27 15:29Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0154757983$1.2k
03-27 15:26Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.016$1.2k
03-20 17:14Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$1.2k
03-20 17:12Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$1.0k
03-20 17:11Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$185.31
03-20 17:08Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0429654205$221.70
03-20 17:07Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.013$897.00
03-20 17:06Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.017$425.00
03-20 17:04Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0068333333$1.0k
03-12 02:20Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008881164$1.6k