vw345ty6234561324
0xd62c9e87ee8ae8058101e4d4c9cddd75bd0d5fc0
- Realised P&L
- $284.46
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $2.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $2.10 | −$2.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.00at 0.550Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 4?
- +$0.35at 0.989Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 1?
- +$0.31at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?
- +$0.27at 0.980Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 23?
- +$0.24at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 06:36 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9979999339 | $13.50 |
| 07-29 06:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.50 |
| 07-24 07:18 | Will XRP reach $1.25 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 07-24 07:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.50 |
| 07-23 07:04 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.40 |
| 07-23 07:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $32.70 |
| 07-17 07:15 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.80 |
| 07-17 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.90 |
| 07-13 08:13 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 07-13 08:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $33.50 |
| 07-10 07:57 | Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 07-10 07:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.50 |
| 07-09 08:03 | Will XRP reach $1.25 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.20 |
| 07-09 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.9983416889 | $32.50 |
| 07-07 08:13 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.50 |